Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 10.432393 11.917585 13.547370 15.469899 17.677628 20.135747 23.083360
2025-12-14 8.349578 10.273589 12.551654 15.453038 19.057927 23.399935 29.042513
2025-12-21 7.073453 9.170427 11.790038 15.312930 19.942866 25.842545 33.966709
2025-12-28 6.427799 8.702130 11.672572 15.852549 21.610281 29.302240 40.425016
2026-01-04 5.875340 8.257806 11.491781 16.225610 23.019011 32.477892 46.755796
2026-01-11 5.476898 7.961025 11.451884 16.746685 24.631974 36.030852 53.922790
2026-01-18 4.885480 7.316560 10.839745 16.355697 24.846961 37.541447 58.179357
2026-01-25 4.418340 6.801987 10.356257 16.086885 25.184386 39.217798 62.793586
2026-02-01 4.021246 6.351589 9.919826 15.833094 25.494878 40.842853 67.435216
2026-02-08 3.674153 5.944576 9.508674 15.569486 25.744694 42.362462 72.008096
2026-02-15 3.369748 5.577109 9.124591 15.306245 25.954674 43.809050 76.558669
2026-02-22 3.275400 5.545051 9.279281 15.947370 27.733853 48.026039 86.304285
2026-03-01 3.108575 5.379492 9.201975 16.192003 28.862242 51.246849 94.646041
2026-03-08 2.911091 5.143816 8.984277 16.167990 29.505240 53.656772 101.726834
2026-03-15 2.713835 4.891161 8.714251 16.021412 29.901835 55.636800 108.162792
2026-03-22 2.641250 4.856549 8.828178 16.587014 31.671697 60.318130 120.303925
2026-03-29 2.548443 4.776230 8.850494 16.978068 33.135276 64.532921 131.920462
2026-04-05 2.482411 4.740254 8.950749 17.524302 34.945101 69.574219 145.727055
2026-04-12 2.301255 4.468741 8.582187 17.114433 34.796799 70.672840 151.323657
2026-04-19 2.150832 4.245746 8.290194 16.832650 34.882205 72.247168 158.084732
2026-04-26 2.014525 4.040493 8.017457 16.566622 34.974019 73.834299 165.016236
2026-05-03 1.887955 3.845506 7.750672 16.290311 35.017286 75.314343 171.839659
2026-05-10 1.771235 3.662214 7.494184 16.014393 35.035402 76.734746 178.654616